Over the summer, the media and radical activists tried to wishcast Jewish support for Zohran Mamdani.
The New York Times interviewed 5 people of Jewish descent and headlined the story as “Many Jewish voters back Mamdani and many agree with him on Gaza”.
A Mamdani campaign adviser paid a leftist Mamdani supporter for a poll which claimed that most Jews and 1 in 4 conservatives supported him. Despite the obvious nonsense, the media widely headlined the poll.
They won’t be headlining this poll even though it comes from Siena: a reliable gold standard pollster. It’s also the first real poll that measures support in New York State for Mamdani. And while New York City is generally more liberal than the state, when it comes to Jews, the city is the hub for a large traditional Orthodox community and is likely to swing further right.
Not that it gets much more right on Mamdani than this.
75% of New York State Jews have a negative view of Mamdani. Only 15% have a positive one.
And while Jews really don’t like Mamdani, nobody especially does.
In statewide numbers, he’s at 40% negative/26% positive among white people, 28% positive to 22% negative among black people and 40% positive to 34% negative among Latinos (by far his best demographic).
There’s no great well of enthusiasm for Mamdani. He won the primary with below 30% turnout and candidates that everyone else hated. He’s got his Muslim base and his radical leftist base but their numbers are not strong. If the opposition weren’t a shambolic unpopular mess and if the media weren’t constantly hyping him, he would lose.
And thus the fake polls, the fake enthusiasm and the attempts to invent a popular wave for Mamdani.
The media has to lie for Mamdani because it’s the only way he can get ahead.
